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Burden of Proof
 

THE SCIENCE BEHIND CONSERVING SHOREBIRDS AND HORSESHOE CRABS IN DELAWARE BAY

ARTICLE BY DAVID S. MIZRAHI, PH.D.
VICE-PRESIDENT FOR RESEARCH AND MONITORING
NEW JERSEY AUDUBON SOCIETY

Conserving wildlife is difficult work, especially when securing federal protection. It's even harder when the species have commercial value or interrupt commercial enterprise. The suspension of horseshoe crab harvesting in Delaware Bay to protect the Red Knot is an example from our own backyard.

Although attaining legal protection for species requires the efforts of many dedicated people, the burden to demonstrate need for regulatory protection falls on biologists. It means years of painstaking research and documentation and even then, protection is not guaranteed. Such is the case in the Delaware Bay.

The first hints that Delaware Bay was a critical stopover area for migrating shorebirds came in the late 1970s. Pete Myers, then with the Philadelphia Academy of Science, and Brian Harrington and Linda Leddy of Manomet Observatory were among the first to study shorebird migration ecology in the Bay. Their work led to our early understanding of relationships between shorebirds and horseshoe crabs.

Harrington, now a world authority on the Red Knot, helped introduce the idea that a handful of stopover sites, like Delaware Bay, were linchpins along migration routes. Geography and food resources make them critical stops between wintering areas in South America and breeding grounds in the Arctic.

In 1981- 1982, Pete Dunne and colleagues flew aerial surveys to quantify the number and species of shorebirds in Delaware Bay during spring migration. They revealed that as many as 425,000 individuals were staging in the Bay and that Red Knot (95,000), Semipalmated Sandpiper (175,000), Ruddy Turnstone (80,000) and Sanderling (30,000) were the predominant species. These data suggested that Delaware Bay hosted approximately 70 to 80 percent of the Western Hemisphere's Red Knot and Ruddy urnstone populations and half of the world's Semipalmated Sandpipers. By 1986, New Jersey's Division of Fish and Wildlife (NJDFW), led by Principal Zoologist Kathy Clark, instituted annual spring aerial surveys.

Guy Morrison and Ken Ross, biologists with the Canadian Wildlife Service, flew surveys in South America to catalog the number and distribution of shorebirds during the non-breeding season. Their data suggested that between 80,000 and 100,000 Red Knots wintered in South America, most found in the southernmost parts of the Atlantic Coast. They also documented more than 2 million Semipalmated Sandpipers wintering along the northern coast.

During these years, horseshoe crab harvesting was nearly nonexistent except by a handful of eel fishermen. Shorebird populations appeared healthy and numbers were stable. Fast forward to the mid 1990s. I conducted research for my Ph.D. on the migration ecology and physiology of Semipalmated and Least Sandpipers in Delaware Bay. Larry Niles, then Bureau Chief of NJDFW Endangered and Nongame Species Program (ENSP), instituted a monitoring program for Red Knot, Ruddy Turnstone and Sanderling with the help of international shorebird biologists. A similar effort was mounted in Delaware. These work documented seasonal patterns of weight gain in shorebirds during their stopover in Delaware Bay Here, shorebirds appeared to accumulate sufficient energy reserves to successfully complete their migration to the Arctic. In years to come these baseline data would prove critical in demonstrating that horseshoe crab harvesting, and a reduction in horseshoe crab eggs for consumption, reduced shorebird weight gain potential.

The two-state monitoring programs marked birds with unique combinations of colored leg bands then resighted them during subsequent days and years. These data, coupled with the Delaware Bay aerial shorebird survey data helped determine how long birds were in the Bay during migration stopover periods and their annual survival rates.

Horseshoe crab harvesting increased meteorically. By 1998 nearly 3 million animals per year were harvested, more than half from the Delaware Bay population. Most harvesting was done to supply bait to a rapidly growing whelk (conch) fishery. In 1996, then New Jersey Governor Christie Whitman imposed a one season moratorium on horseshoe crab harvesting. Data collected during the next few years verified major changes in the viability of Delaware Bay as a hemispherically important shorebird stopover site.

By 2000, I was working for New Jersey Audubon Society. My first project was to reconstitute the shorebird work I started five years before and it became immediately apparent that things were amiss. In five years weight gain rates in Semipalmated Sandpipers were down 50 percent.

My state and international colleagues continued documenting the annual peregrinations of Delaware Bay's shorebirds where a similar pattern emerged. Shorebirds stopping in Delaware Bay were not gaining as much weight or gaining weight as fast as they had. With no major stopover site north of Delaware Bay, birds were at risk of lacking the fuel to complete their migration. If they did reach the breeding grounds, they might not survive until snow and ice melt uncovered foraging habitats.

Harvest quotas imposed by the Atlantic State Marine Fisheries Council reduced annual landings of Delaware Bay horseshoe crabs by 25 percent. Harvest quotas were a direct result of evidence provided by shorebird biologists. However, the preferential taking of female crabs and the effects of high harvest levels translated into drastically reduced crab egg availability.

Shorebird weight gain remained well below mid-1990s levels for the next six years, but evidence of an adverse effect on shorebird population health was not immediate. Aerial survey data for Delaware Bay suggested a relatively stable population through the late 1990s and early 2000s. Aerial surveys of the South American regions were conducted for three seasons starting in 2000 and suggested stable Red Knot numbers as well.

The proverbial bottom dropped out in 2003. The maximum count for Red Knot in Delaware Bay based on the aerial survey plummeted to just over 16,000, or 60 percent fewer birds than the 17-year average. Declines in Ruddy Turnstone (50%), Semipalmated Sandpiper (60%) and Sanderling (35%) counts dropped as well. The South American survey similarly found Red Knot numbers down from 67,000 in 1986 to 30,000 in 2003.

Horseshoe crab egg surveys indicated that egg availability was crashing. Using a sophisticated chemical approach, stable isotope analysis, Michael Harramis, a biologist with the U.S. Geological Service, demonstrated that horseshoe crab eggs caused the majority of weight gain. Without crab eggs, shorebirds were unlikely to attain the fuel reserves necessary for successful completion of migration to the Arctic. 

A paper published in the Proceedings of the Royal Society of London in 2003 authored by Allan Baker of the University of Toronto and a team of contributors indicated that a persistent lack of crab eggs over several years would have a catastrophic effect on the Red Knot possibly resulting in extinction.

With these alarming data, conservationists pressed for listing Red Knot as a federally threatened species and a full moratorium on crab harvesting in Delaware Bay.  Opposition, was strong, but we can claim some significant victories. After a two-year horseshoe crab harvest moratorium in NJ lapsed, Governor Corzine has signed legislation extending the moratorium until shorebird recovery targets are met. Significant harvest quota reduction efforts have occurred in Virginia, and we remain hopeful that Delaware and Maryland will follow the leadership of the other two states.

Unfortunately, little change in the plight of Delaware Bay shorebirds has occurred. Through 2008, weight gain rates remained low. Shorebird numbers in Delaware Bay are well below average for all four primary species as are Red Knot numbers in Argentina and Chile. New evidence suggests that numbers of Red Knot wintering in Florida and the northern coast of Brazil, are also declining. Time will tell if new regulations will have a positive effect on Delaware Bay shorebirds.